Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.