Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
36.15% ( -1.56) | 24.46% ( 0.07) | 39.39% ( 1.49) |
Both teams to score 59.64% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.8% ( -0.45) | 43.2% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.4% ( -0.44) | 65.6% ( 0.44) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% ( -1.02) | 23.6% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.32% ( -1.5) | 57.68% ( 1.5) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% ( 0.55) | 21.93% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.79% ( 0.82) | 55.21% ( -0.82) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.13% Total : 36.15% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 62 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 50 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 43 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 40 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Toronto | 29 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 36 |
9 | DC United | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 33 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 31 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 30 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 59 | -22 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 48 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 47 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 46 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 45 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Dallas | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 28 |
13 | St Louis City | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 28 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 17 |