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Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Atlanta United

Toronto
2 - 1
Atlanta

Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta United

Atlanta have developed a habit of tallying early, though they have struggled to maintain that intensity away from home for 90 minutes. For Toronto, they tend to react well and have shown more potency in the final third, so we expect if they suffer a setback, they will be able to recover. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
30% (-0.903 -0.9) 23.43% (-0.044 -0.04) 46.57% (0.94900000000001 0.95)
Both teams to score 61.13% (-0.376 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (-0.269 -0.27)40.29% (0.268 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (-0.278 -0.28)62.67% (0.279 0.28)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.699 -0.7)25.82% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.959 -0.96)60.79% (0.961 0.96)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.267 0.27)17.59% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (0.466 0.47)48.16% (-0.465 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 30%
    Atlanta United 46.57%
    Draw 23.42%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.202 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.151 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.08 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 46.57%

How you voted: Toronto vs Atlanta

Toronto
Draw
Atlanta United
Toronto
35.1%
Draw
35.1%
Atlanta United
29.7%
37
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')
Auro (83')
Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')
Aug 19, 2021 12am
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
Sep 13, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew7430105515
2Inter MiamiInter Miami6420126614
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7412138513
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC7412127513
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati741299013
6Orlando City73221512311
7Chicago Fire73221412211
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls732297211
9Nashville SCNashville7313107310
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta72321112-19
11New York City FCNY City72231011-18
12DC United7133917-86
13New England RevolutionNew England611437-44
14Toronto7034713-63
15CF MontrealMontreal7025412-82

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7511125716
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7421117414
3Austin FCAustin741253213
4Portland TimbersPortland732298111
5Dallas73221010011
6Colorado RapidsColorado732289-111
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes73131510510
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles7304810-29
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake7304711-49
10St Louis City72234408
11Seattle SoundersSeattle7133811-36
12Houston DynamoHouston7124511-65
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas7115812-44
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy7025514-92
15San Diego FC00000000


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