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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Toronto FC

Cincinnati
2 - 0
Toronto

Harris (2'), Acosta (57' pen.)
Nwobodo (59'), Blackett (75'), Barreal (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (12')
Priso-Mbongue (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-2 Toronto

 For whatever reason, Cincinnati seem to struggle at home and are not quite as sharp on the ball over 90 minutes. Although Toronto have struggled on the road, we expect Bradley and his young team to make the proper tactical adjustments in this one as they have done an excellent job at learning from past mistakes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
40.64%24.92%34.44%
Both teams to score 57.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41%45.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09%67.91%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63%22.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14%55.85%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 40.64%
    Toronto 34.44%
    Draw 24.92%
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-1 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.44%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Toronto

FC Cincinnati
39.0%
Draw
17.1%
Toronto
43.9%
41
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Toronto
1-2
Cincinnati
Jimenez (65')
Achara (86')
Murphy (44'), Acosta (52')
Powell (50')
Sep 30, 2021 12am
Toronto
3-2
Cincinnati
Shaffelburg (48'), Delgado (55'), Achara (65')
Achara (59'), Soteldo (76'), Marshall-Rutty (90')
Matarrita (38'), Acosta (72')
Valot (32'), Castillo (41'), Vallecilla (59'), Stanko (74')
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
2-0
Toronto
Brenner (39'), Medunjanin (58')
Medunjanin (45+3'), Cameron (50'), Vallecilla (84'), Valot (85')

Morrow (37')
Jun 27, 2021 12am
Toronto
0-2
Cincinnati

Bradley (33')
Cruz (4'), Acosta (68')
Kubo (38'), Matarrita (62'), Cruz (78')
Oct 12, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Toronto

Gutman (66'), Hagglund (67')
Mullins (29')
Gonzalez (9'), Osorio (21'), Ciman (72')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
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5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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