National League North | Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton3 - 1Hereford
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gloucester City 3-0 Alfreton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Hereford 3-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Hereford United |
49.3% ( -0.12) | 24.59% ( -0.11) | 26.12% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
