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National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
4 - 1
Gloucester City

Mahon (36', 73'), Spencer (62'), Mols (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brain (17')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawGloucester City
60.81% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 20.94% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 18.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04)41.3% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.3% (0.042999999999999 0.04)63.7% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)13.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.19% (0.047999999999995 0.05)39.81% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.8% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.99% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 60.81%
    Gloucester City 18.24%
    Draw 20.94%
Curzon AshtonDrawGloucester City
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 60.81%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 4.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 18.24%

Head to Head
Dec 19, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Curzon Ashton
4-3
Gloucester City
Spencer (8'), Campbell (47'), Peers (70', 73')
Obadeyi (16' pen.), Phillips (28'), McHale (88')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Gloucester City
0-3
Curzon Ashton
Peers (53', 63'), Hancock (59' pen.)
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Curzon Ashton
1-2
Gloucester City
Dimaio (6')
King (60'), Robert (88')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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