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National League North | Gameweek 37
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
1 - 0
Hereford

Spencer (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-3 Darlington
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawHereford United
42.69% (0.053000000000004 0.05) 26.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 31.12% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (0.196 0.2)52.02% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (0.171 0.17)73.76% (-0.173 -0.17)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.11199999999999 0.11)24.17% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (0.163 0.16)58.49% (-0.165 -0.16)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.096999999999994 0.1)30.95% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.114 0.11)67.25% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 42.69%
    Hereford United 31.12%
    Draw 26.19%
Curzon AshtonDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 42.69%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.12%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Hereford
3-1
Curzon Ashton
Howkins (45+3'), Babos (65'), Rooney (90+5')
Howkins (69')
Sinclair (20')
D. (90+5'), Mason (90')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Hereford
0-2
Curzon Ashton
Campbell (4'), Walker (80' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Curzon Ashton
1-3
Hereford
Peers (77')
Barnett (6', 65'), McLean (74')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Curzon Ashton
3-0
Hereford
Peers (49'), Mahon (71'), Cooke (90+5')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Hereford
2-2
Curzon Ashton
Gordon (9'), Owen-Evans (28')
Curran (2'), Hobson (70')
rhs 2.0
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