Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 69.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 10.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.93%) and 3-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Needham Market win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.