Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 77.65%. A draw has a probability of 13.3% and a win for Southampton has a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.77%), while for a Southampton win it is 1-2 (2.71%).
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Southampton |
77.65% ( 3.42) | 13.28% ( -1.65) | 9.08% ( -1.76) |
Both teams to score 57.68% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.13% ( 2.88) | 25.87% ( -2.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.96% ( 3.62) | 46.05% ( -3.61) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.63% ( 1.22) | 5.37% ( -1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.92% ( 3.42) | 21.08% ( -3.41) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.95% ( -1.04) | 39.05% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.23% ( -1) | 75.77% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Southampton |
2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.53) 3-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.67) 4-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.48) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.63) 5-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.51) 4-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.15) 6-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.41) 6-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.35) 5-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.2) Other @ 5.63% Total : 77.65% | 1-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.82) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.4) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 13.28% | 1-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.47) 0-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.22% Total : 9.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 21 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Arsenal | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 17 |
4 | Aston Villa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 15 |
6 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
8 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
10 | Fulham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Bournemouth | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 11 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Brentford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Leicester CityLeicester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 4 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 1 |
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