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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Benfica
5 - 1
Guimaraes

Ramos (13'), Mario (28' pen., 36'), Silva (69' og.), Silva (89')
Ramos (65')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Silva (79')
Amaro (26'), Andre (43'), Safira (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-3 Benfica
Sunday, March 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

 Not only have Benfica enjoyed a superb domestic campaign, but they have also reached the quarter-finals of the Champions League. Schmidt's side have been imperious in the history of this fixture and we anticipate another one-sided affair with As Aguias prevailing once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.23%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 6.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.31%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
80.23% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13) 13.04% (0.084 0.08) 6.73% (0.0449 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.48% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.53% (-0.242 -0.24)34.47% (0.23800000000001 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.61% (-0.273 -0.27)56.39% (0.268 0.27)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.32% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)6.68% (0.075 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.25% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)24.75% (0.205 0.2)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.73% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)51.27% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.48% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)85.52% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 80.22%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 6.73%
    Draw 13.04%
BenficaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 11.31%
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.074 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 80.22%
1-1 @ 6.19% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.42% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 13.04%
0-1 @ 2.29% (0.025 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 6.73%

How you voted: Benfica vs Guimaraes

Benfica
87.9%
Draw
12.1%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0.0%
33
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
0-0
Benfica

Andre (41')
Feb 27, 2022 6pm
Benfica
3-0
Guimaraes
Ramos (23'), Nunez (37', 52' pen.)
Everton (35')

Semedo (3'), Mumin (55')
Oct 27, 2021 7.30pm
Guimaraes
3-3
Benfica
Andre (21'), Estupinan (45+2'), Duarte (83')
Janvier (85')
Semedo (7' og.), Pizzi (15'), Radonjic (28')
Mario (27'), Verissimo (37')
Sep 25, 2021 6pm
Guimaraes
1-3
Benfica
Duarte (78' pen.)
Yaremchuk (30', 41'), Mario (73')
Otamendi (83')
May 19, 2021 8pm
Guimaraes
1-3
Benfica
Fernandes (63')
Fernandes (53')
Seferovic (48', 58'), Everton (90+1')
Taarabt (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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