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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Portimonense

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Portimonense

Silva (22')
Bamba (73'), Silva (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedrao (45+4'), Alves (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Portimonense

 After a disappointing start to the year, Vitoria de Guimaraes have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and head into the weekend as slight favourites to grab the desired results. While Portimonense appear to have hit their stride once again, we are backing the hosts to come out on top this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
57.39% (0.074999999999996 0.07) 24.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 18.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.19% (0.028000000000006 0.03)55.8% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (0.023 0.02)76.93% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)19.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (0.066000000000003 0.07)51.11% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)44.85% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)80.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.38%
    Portimonense 18.14%
    Draw 24.46%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.41% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 18.14%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Portimonense

Vitoria de Guimaraes
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Portimonense
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 8.30pm
Portimonense
2-1
Guimaraes
Junior (62'), Cariello (88')
Estrela (44'), Moufi (45+2'), Pedrao (84'), Ewerton (90')
Silva (46')
Varela (84'), Janvier (90+6')
Jan 17, 2022 8.15pm
Portimonense
1-1
Guimaraes
Oliveira (85')
Moufi (48'), Oliveira (54'), Possignolo (65'), Carlinhos (90+5')
Luz (34')
Sa (43'), Ferreira (45'), Rochinha (54'), Amaro (76'), Lameiras (83')
Aug 8, 2021 3.30pm
Guimaraes
0-1
Portimonense

Fernandes (31'), Bucancil Nabian (86')
Beto (86')
Beto (49'), Moufi (80'), Rosa Santos (90+11')
Apr 9, 2021 8pm
Portimonense
3-0
Guimaraes
Possignolo (5'), Dener (64' pen.), Beto (67')
Willyan (56'), Seung-woo (89')

Mumin (35'), Lameiras (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3.30pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Portimonense
Andre (32')
Silvio (18'), Mumin (27'), Pepelu (65'), Quaresma (82'), Maddox (90+4'), Janvier (90+4')

Possignolo (29'), Sa (43'), Dener (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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