Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 1 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Sporting Lisbon | 2 | 3 | 4 |
4 | Porto | 1 | 4 | 3 |
5 | Estoril Praia | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Porto |
14.69% ( -0.18) | 20.16% ( -0.11) | 65.15% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.65% ( 0.12) | 44.35% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.28% ( 0.12) | 66.72% ( -0.11) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.54% ( -0.18) | 42.46% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.17% ( -0.15) | 78.83% ( 0.15) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.18% ( 0.12) | 12.82% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.84% ( 0.25) | 39.15% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 14.69% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.16% | 0-2 @ 11.48% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.86% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.74% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 65.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |