MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:16:33| >> :60:1112:1112:
Porto
Portuguese Super Cup | Final
Jul 30, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Tondela

Porto
3 - 0
Tondela

Taremi (30', 82'), Evanilson (33')
Uribe (60'), Grujic (64'), Taremi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Khacef (37'), Barbosa (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Portuguese Super Cup clash between Porto and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:
    Last Game: Porto 2-1 Monaco
    Saturday, July 23 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Tondela

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
      Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

      We said: Porto 3-0 Tondela

       While Tondela will be looking to cause the first major upset of the 2022-23 Portuguese campaign, they have struggled for results against Porto, losing each of their last 13 meetings since 2016. Conceicao's men head into the weekend with a new-look squad, but they are capable of coming away with the desired results. Therefore, we predict a one-sided contest with the Dragoes claiming the title in 90 minutes against the CDT Auriverdes, who are winless in 11 consecutive games across all competitions. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 80.38%. A draw has a probability of 12.8% and a win for Tondela has a probability of 6.85%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.96%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.01%), while for a Tondela win it is 0-1 (2.16%).

      Result
      PortoDrawTondela
      80.38% (0.374 0.37) 12.76% (-0.214 -0.21) 6.85% (-0.164 -0.16)
      Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      67.64% (0.431 0.43)32.35% (-0.437 -0.44)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      46.02% (0.501 0.5)53.97% (-0.506 -0.51)
      Porto Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      93.79% (0.157 0.16)6.21% (-0.162 -0.16)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      76.53% (0.444 0.44)23.46% (-0.448 -0.45)
      Tondela Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      50.65% (-0.12 -0.12)49.34% (0.116 0.12)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      15.8% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)84.2% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
      Score Analysis
          Porto 80.38%
          Tondela 6.85%
          Draw 12.76%
      PortoDrawTondela
      2-0 @ 11.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
      3-0 @ 10.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
      1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.12 -0.12)
      2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
      3-1 @ 7.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      4-0 @ 7.62% (0.104 0.1)
      4-1 @ 5.38% (0.056 0.06)
      5-0 @ 4.23% (0.097 0.1)
      5-1 @ 2.99% (0.058 0.06)
      3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
      6-0 @ 1.96% (0.062 0.06)
      4-2 @ 1.9% (0.014 0.01)
      6-1 @ 1.39% (0.039 0.04)
      5-2 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
      Other @ 3.72%
      Total : 80.38%
      		1-1 @ 6.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
      0-0 @ 3.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
      2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
      Other @ 0.73%
      Total : 12.76%
      		0-1 @ 2.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
      1-2 @ 2.12% (-0.044 -0.04)
      Other @ 2.56%
      Total : 6.85%

      How you voted: Porto vs Tondela

      Porto
      79.2%
      Draw
      12.5%
      Tondela
      8.3%
      24
      Head to Head
      May 22, 2022 5.15pm
      Porto
      3-1
      Tondela
      Taremi (22' pen., 74'), Vitinha (52')
      Grujic (77'), Conceicao (86')
      Borges (73')
      Alves (17'), Barbosa (83')
      Mar 13, 2022 6pm
      Porto
      4-0
      Tondela
      Taremi (45' pen.), Galeno (73'), Vieira (76'), Conceicao (79')
      Wendell (36')

      Borges (3'), Hernando (33')
      Hernando (66')
      Oct 23, 2021 6pm
      Tondela
      1-3
      Porto
      Borges (4')
      Sagnan (11'), Pedro (23')
      Undabarrena (28')
      Taremi (19', 43', 79')
      Evanilson (14'), Uribe (44'), Pepe (54'), Otavio (73')
      Apr 10, 2021 6pm
      Tondela
      0-2
      Porto

      Grau (39'), Medioub (48'), Bebeto (58'), Martinez (88')
      Martinez (19'), Taremi (83')
      Otavio (60')
      Dec 5, 2020 8.30pm
      Porto
      4-3
      Tondela
      Sanusi (4'), Marega (36', 48'), Taremi (56')
      Uribe (40'), Evanilson (79')
      Uribe (90+3')
      Gonzalez (20', 74'), Barbosa (33')
      Medioub (39'), Augusto (62'), Mendes (79'), Grau (83'), Martinez (90+1')
      rhs 2.0
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