Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cesena and Sudtirol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cesena in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cesena | Draw | Sudtirol |
51.48% ( -0.81) | 26.15% ( 0.76) | 22.38% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.79% ( -2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.76% ( -2.71) | 57.25% ( 2.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.91% ( -2.2) | 78.09% ( 2.21) |
| Cesena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( -1.45) | 22.33% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.19% ( -2.23) | 55.81% ( 2.23) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.95% ( -1.49) | 41.05% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.4% ( -1.36) | 77.6% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Cesena 51.47%
Sudtirol 22.38%
Draw 26.14%
| Cesena | Draw | Sudtirol |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.84% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.91)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.38% |
