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Porto
Taca da Liga | Semi-Finals
Jan 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Viseu

Porto
3 - 0
Viseu

Eustaquio (7'), Loader (66'), Folha (79')
Eustaquio (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Toro (34'), Messeguem (59'), Fonseca (72'), Costa Almeida (72'), Clovis (74'), Milioransa (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Porto and Academico de Viseu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Saturday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Academico de Viseu

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Viseu 2-0 Beira-Mar
Wednesday, January 11 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Porto 3-0 Academico de Viseu

 Porto will be tempted to rest players for this clash as their title hunt in the Primeira Liga continues, but the chance to win their first-ever Taca da Liga should be enough to see Conceicao pick his strongest XI. Viseu have nothing to lose in Leira and should play with no worries, but unfortunately for them, the might of the Dragoes should be too strong on the night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.82%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Academico de Viseu had a probability of 3.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 4-0 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.15%), while for an Academico de Viseu win it was 0-1 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawAcademico de Viseu
87.82% (0.755 0.75) 8.72% (-0.3889 -0.39) 3.46% (-0.3659 -0.37)
Both teams to score 39.56% (-1.862 -1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.59% (-0.23400000000001 -0.23)28.41% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.74% (-0.291 -0.29)49.26% (0.291 0.29)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.82% (0.084999999999994 0.08)4.18% (-0.085 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.55% (0.273 0.27)17.45% (-0.272 -0.27)
Academico de Viseu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.28% (-1.981 -1.98)58.72% (1.981 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.02% (-1.09 -1.09)89.98% (1.091 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Porto 87.81%
    Academico de Viseu 3.46%
    Draw 8.72%
PortoDrawAcademico de Viseu
3-0 @ 13.09% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 12.36% (0.32 0.32)
4-0 @ 10.39% (0.403 0.4)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.206 -0.21)
5-0 @ 6.6% (0.298 0.3)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.239 -0.24)
4-1 @ 5.53% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-1 @ 3.51% (-0.057 -0.06)
6-0 @ 3.49% (0.179 0.18)
6-1 @ 1.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.179 -0.18)
7-0 @ 1.58% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.131 -0.13)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 87.81%
1-1 @ 4.15% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-0 @ 2.45% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 1.75% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 8.72%
0-1 @ 1.31% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-2 @ 1.1% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 3.46%

How you voted: Porto vs Viseu

Porto
78.8%
Draw
12.1%
Academico de Viseu
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2020 8.45pm
Semi-Finals
Porto
3-0
Viseu
Telles (19' pen.), Luis (64'), Oliveira (72')
Leite (80')

Pica (10'), Medina (31'), Ferreira (41')
Feb 4, 2020 8.45pm
Semi-Finals
Viseu
1-1
Porto
Mario (71')
Pedro (84'), Carter (92')
Luis (59')
N'Diaye (13'), Baro (84')
rhs 2.0
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