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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 28, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Arouca

Porto
5 - 1
Arouca

Otavio (1'), Taremi (18', 34', 50'), Opoku (70' og.)
Marcano (59')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bruninho (75')
Ruiz (36'), Sylla (48'), Basso (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, December 21 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Arouca
Thursday, December 22 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Porto 3-1 Arouca

 Off the back of a fine cup run to the semi-finals, Porto and Arouca will head into Wednesday looking to keep the juggernaut rolling and the momentum high. While the visitors have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a significantly superior and more experienced Porto side. With that said, we are backing Conceicao's side to extend their dominance in this fixture by claiming another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 7.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 3-0 (11.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawArouca
76.6% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 15.77% (0.004999999999999 0) 7.62% (0.0131 0.01)
Both teams to score 39.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (0.016000000000005 0.02)44.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.016000000000005 0.02)66.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)9.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.3% (0.035999999999994 0.04)55.7% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.71% (0.025 0.03)88.29% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Porto 76.58%
    Arouca 7.62%
    Draw 15.77%
PortoDrawArouca
2-0 @ 14.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 12.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 3.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 76.58%
1-1 @ 7.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 2.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 15.77%
0-1 @ 3.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 2.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 7.62%

How you voted: Porto vs Arouca

Porto
100%
Draw
0.0%
Arouca
0.0%
36
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 6pm
Arouca
0-2
Porto

Kouassi (1'), Basso (45+3'), Moreira (61'), Silva (68'), Antony (90+10')
Vitinha (54'), Mbemba (57')
Conceicao (45+6'), Pepe (53'), Sanusi (75'), Marchesin (90+3'), Eustaquio (90+7')
Aug 28, 2021 6pm
Porto
3-0
Arouca
Uribe (24'), Taremi (34'), Marcano (63')
Mario (45+2'), Costa (51'), Diaz (59'), Uribe (67')

Miguel Pereira Da Silva (25'), Quaresma Correia (83'), Dabbagh (88')
Mar 10, 2017 8.30pm
Arouca
0-4
Porto

Valente (84'), Jubal (89')
Pereira (15'), Soares (25', 87'), Jota (72')
Pereira (83'), Andre (83')
Oct 22, 2016 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Arouca
Silva (43', 78'), Brahimi (91')

Coelho (31')
Feb 7, 2016 7.15pm
Porto
1-2
Arouca
Aboubakar (14')
Maicon (65')
Gonzalez (1', 66')
Adilson (45'), Lima (59'), Gonzalez (66'), Bracali (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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