MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 21:31:40| >> :600:1710259:1710259:
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Taca da Liga | Second Round
Jul 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Oliveirense

Farense
3 - 2
UD Oliveirense

Matias (16'), Costa (30'), Oliveira (35')
Ponde (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Schutte (55'), Pedro Ferreira Costa Leite (60')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Second Round clash between SC Farense and UD Oliveirense.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Farense (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 23 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga

UD Oliveirense

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: UD Oliveirense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, July 22 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawUD Oliveirense
46.49% (1.354 1.35) 24.2% (-0.371 -0.37) 29.31% (-0.986 -0.99)
Both teams to score 57.97% (0.671 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (1.147 1.15)44.26% (-1.15 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37% (1.107 1.11)66.63% (-1.109 -1.11)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (1.037 1.04)19.18% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (1.686 1.69)50.85% (-1.687 -1.69)
UD Oliveirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)28.27% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (-0.116 -0.12)63.98% (0.115 0.12)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 46.49%
    UD Oliveirense 29.31%
    Draw 24.19%
SC FarenseDrawUD Oliveirense
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.119 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.113 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.228 0.23)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.19 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.158 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.13 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 46.49%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.31%

rhs 2.0
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