Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Jul 26, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes4 - 1Leixoes
Rochinha (34'), M. Ribeiro Gomes (74' og.), Duarte (84'), Angelo Moreira de Magalhaes (90+4')
Edwards (9'), Sacko (58')
Edwards (9'), Sacko (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oluwafemi Sapara (22' pen.)
Nduwarugira (5'), Oluwafemi Sapara (50')
Nduwarugira (5'), Oluwafemi Sapara (50')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Quarter-Finals clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Leixoes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Leixoes win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Leixoes |
| 56.91% | 23.8% | 19.29% |
| Both teams to score 48.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
