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European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 13, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stadio Olimpico

Italy U21s
2 - 0
ROI U21s

Sottil (43'), Cutrone (62')
Pirola (20'), Cerofolini (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connor (65'), Collins (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Republic of Ireland Under-21s had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Republic of Ireland Under-21s win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Italy Under-21sDrawRepublic of Ireland Under-21s
61.9%21.59%16.51%
Both teams to score 49.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92%47.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68%69.32%
Italy Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33%14.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.18%42.81%
Republic of Ireland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.29%41.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82%78.17%
Score Analysis
    Italy Under-21s 61.89%
    Republic of Ireland Under-21s 16.51%
    Draw 21.58%
Italy Under-21sDrawRepublic of Ireland Under-21s
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-0 @ 11.26%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 6.31%
4-0 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.76%
5-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.32%
5-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 61.89%
1-1 @ 10.26%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.58%
0-1 @ 5.35%
1-2 @ 4.49%
0-2 @ 2.34%
1-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.51%

Head to Head
Oct 10, 2019 8.05pm
Qualifying Round
ROI U21s
0-0
Italy U21s
Parrott (12'), Molumby (43'), Ronan (44'), Coventry (50'), Idah (55')
Parrott (64')
Tonali (43'), Bastoni (45')
Kean (64')
Mar 24, 2016 6pm
Qualifiers
ROI U21s
1-4
Italy U21s
Mandragora (16' og.)
Rea (21'), Lenihan (24'), Charsley (58')
Benassi (28'), Rosetti (36'), Romagnoli (59'), Lenihan (82' og.)
Cataldi (25'), Mandragora (45')
> Match Report
Oct 13, 2015 4pm
Qualifiers
Italy U21s
1-0
ROI U21s
Parigini (66')
Murru (46'), Bernardeschi (48'), Cataldi (69'), Pargini (90')
Bernardeschi (70')

Connors (38')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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