Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg Under-21s win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Armenia Under-21s had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Armenia Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luxembourg Under-21s in this match.
