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Portugal national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 9, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Nacional

Portugal U21s
4 - 1
Norway U21s

Neto (6', 16'), Fonseca (69'), Fernandes (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Strand Larsen (34')
Evjen (23')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Portugal Under-21s and Norway Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Norway Under-21s had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Norway Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Portugal Under-21sDrawNorway Under-21s
41.7%24.18%34.11%
Both teams to score 60.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77%42.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.37%64.63%
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57%20.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13%52.86%
Norway Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72%24.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35%58.64%
Score Analysis
    Portugal Under-21s 41.7%
    Norway Under-21s 34.11%
    Draw 24.17%
Portugal Under-21sDrawNorway Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.86%
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 41.7%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.11%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2019 5.30pm
Qualifying Round
Norway U21s
2-3
Portugal U21s
Thorstvedt (83' pen.), Strand Larsen (90')
Thorstvedt (4'), Evjen (58'), Fredriksen (72'), Bohinen (77')
Vieira (2', 78'), Jota (20')
Queiros (23'), Mota (91')
Queiros (30')
rhs 2.0
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