Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Norway Under-21s had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Norway Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-21s would win this match.