Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.