Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Old Road
Briton Ferry1 - 5Connah's Quay
Bowen (5')
Gammond (22'), Brock (30'), Bowen (39'), Evans (79')
Gammond (22'), Brock (30'), Bowen (39'), Evans (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mwandwe (14'), Disney (50' pen.), Williams (51'), Hughes (72'), Berry (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Briton Ferry and Connah's Quay Nomads.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Briton Ferry 1-5 Cardiff MU
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Flint Town 0-1 Connah's Quay
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 70.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
Result | ||
Briton Ferry | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
12.78% ( 0.57) | 16.95% ( 0.39) | 70.27% ( -0.96) |
Both teams to score 56.39% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.37% ( -0.4) | 33.62% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.56% ( -0.46) | 55.44% ( 0.46) |
Briton Ferry Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.66% ( 0.6) | 38.34% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.9% ( 0.57) | 75.1% ( -0.57) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.45% ( -0.31) | 8.55% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.43% ( -0.76) | 29.57% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Briton Ferry 12.78%
Connah's Quay Nomads 70.27%
Draw 16.95%
Briton Ferry | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
2-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.79% Total : 12.78% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.95% | 0-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 8.13% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 7.79% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 5% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 4.79% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 2.46% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 2.36% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) 1-6 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.14% Total : 70.27% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-24 17:37:53
FT
Saints
0-34
Packers
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 39 |
3 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 28 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 13 |
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