MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:07:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
4 - 0
Cardiff MU

Kenny (11'), Nash (40', 90+3'), Wilde (85')
Davies (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Samson (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-4 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 9 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-0 Pontypridd
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
57.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 24% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 18.63% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.52% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.285 -0.29)53.51% (0.286 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.242 -0.24)75.02% (0.242 0.24)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (-0.113 -0.11)18.48% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (-0.192 -0.19)49.68% (0.19 0.19)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)42.93% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (-0.187 -0.19)79.23% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 57.35%
    Cardiff MU 18.63%
    Draw 24%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.63%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
0-2
Connah's Quay
Williams (32'), Mendes (45+3')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (35'), Harrington (90+1')
Rees (88')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Connah's Quay
2-0
Cardiff MU
Wilde (10', 50')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff MU
2-0
Connah's Quay
Jones (22'), Rees (83')
Lewis (17')

Nash (34'), Wilde (49'), Horan (62'), Malkin (65')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Connah's Quay
0-0
Cardiff MU
Curran (7'), Horan (49'), Harrington (82')
Lang (90+2'), Roscrow (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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