Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 7.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
