Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
