MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 17:32:58| >> :600:123301:123301:
[monks data]
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 22, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
 
Mainz logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Mainz 05

Philipp (47'), Victor (66')
Arnold (51'), Schlager (56'), Philipp (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boetius (44'), Quaison (54'), Bell (77')
Barreiro (29'), Bell (40'), Boetius (61')

Preview: Wolfsburg vs. Mainz 05 - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Wolfsburg take on Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Saturday, with little at stake given that both teams have achieved their main objectives for the season.

Wolfsburg wrapped up their Champions League qualification spot last weekend, while Mainz have ensured that they will compete in the Bundesliga for a 13th consecutive season when August comes around.


Match preview

Wolfsburg coach Oliver Glasner pictured on February 14, 2021© Reuters

Despite blowing a two-goal lead away to Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal runners-up RB Leipzig to draw 2-2 last time out, Eintracht Frankfurt's shock 4-3 defeat to already-relegated Schalke 04 ensured that the Wolves will avoid any final day nerves against in-form Mainz.

Indeed, had Frankfurt beaten Schalke as they were widely expected to do, Adi Hutter's side would have headed into their final day home tie against Freiburg only one point behind Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund in the race to qualify for next season's Champions League.

However, deservedly so having been solid for the vast majority of the campaign, Oliver Glasner's side will compete in Europe's top competition for the first time since reaching the quarter-final in the 2015-16 campaign.

This season may well be remembered as the Wout Weghorst season by Die Wolfe fans, with the Netherlands striker bagging 20 league goals during a wonderful individual campaign.

Given that Glasner's side is largely based on defensive solidity, Weghorst's goals have often proved the difference between one point and three, with the 28-year-old and his teammates alike hoping to end a successful season on a high against Mainz on Saturday.

Mainz 05 coach Bo Svensson reacts on April 24, 2021© Reuters

It will certainly not be easy for them to do so, however, with Mainz's impressive unbeaten run finally ending at nine matches after a 3-1 defeat at home to Dortmund last weekend.

Die Nullfunfer were outclassed by a ruthless BVB outfit, who converted four shots on target into three goals via strikes from Raphael Guerreiro, Marco Reus and Julian Brandt.

As such, Robin Quaison's injury-time penalty was nothing more than a consolation effort, but the defeat takes nothing away from the miracle Bo Svensson has performed in keeping Mainz up with a game to spare.

The 41-year-old took over in January with the club he spent seven years as a player at marooned at the bottom of the table with only six points after 14 matches, but Svensson has guided them to 30 points from his 19 games in charge so far during an astonishing upturn in form.

Svensson will be hoping for one final push from his players on Saturday, but will be mightily proud of their achievements together whatever ensues.

Wolfsburg Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Mainz 05 Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L



Team News

Wolfsburg's Renato Steffen celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates against Union Berlin on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Wolfsburg remain without Renato Steffen, Josip Brekalo and Bartosz Bialek due to injury.

Otherwise, Glasner appears to have a clean bill of health to select from, with the 46-year-old unlikely to make any changes from the side which drew at Leipzig last weekend.

Mainz, meanwhile, will travel without Jonathan Burkardt and Robin Zentner due to hip and stomach complaints respectively, so Finn Dahmen will continue in goal.

Quaison and Adam Szalai could be handed starts in attack, with Phillipp Mwene and Dominik Kohr also pushing for recalls to the starting XI.

Wolfsburg possible starting lineup:
Casteels; Mbabu, Lacroix, Brooks, Otavio; Schlager, Arnold; Baku, Philipp, Gerhardt; Weghorst

Mainz 05 possible starting lineup:
Dahmen; St Juste, Hack, Niakhate; Da Costa, Kohr, Barreiro, Boetius, Mwene; Quaison, Szalai


SM words green background

We say: Wolfsburg 2-2 Mainz 05

We can envisage an entertaining affair in Wolfsburg on Saturday given that both teams can play without pressure having secured their main aims for the season.

A share of the spoils seems likely, then, given that both sides head into this encounter in decent, albeit dipping, form of late.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:448306:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9222:
Written by
Brett Curtis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05

Wolfsburg
82.0%
Draw
11.5%
Mainz 05
6.6%
61
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
RB Leipzig coach Julian Nagelsmann pictured on February 16, 2021
Read Next:
Sunday's Bundesliga predictions including RB Leipzig vs. Wolfsburg
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!