Benfica2 - 6Barcelona
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, December 7 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Wednesday, December 7 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
We said: Benfica Women 0-3 Barcelona Women
Although we expect Thursday's scoreline to be closer than the 9-0 win that Barcelona recorded when the two sides met on matchday one, we still believe Barcelona will claim a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 80.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Benfica Women had a probability of 6.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.06%) and 0-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%), while for a Benfica Women win it was 1-0 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
6.85% ( -0.1) | 12.89% ( -0.17) | 80.26% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 46.88% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.89% ( 0.47) | 33.1% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.15% ( 0.54) | 54.84% ( -0.54) |
Benfica Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.07% ( 0.08) | 49.92% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.39% ( 0.05) | 84.6% ( -0.05) |
Barcelona Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.61% ( 0.15) | 6.39% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.04% ( 0.41) | 23.96% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica Women | Draw | Barcelona Women |
1-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 6.85% | 1-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.89% | 0-2 @ 12.06% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 7.61% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 5.29% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 4.19% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 2.91% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.53% Total : 80.25% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Barcelona
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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