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Burundi national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade d'Honneur
Ivory Coast national football team

Burundi
vs.
Ivory Coast

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Burundi and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 2-0 Burundi
Tuesday, November 19 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 4-0 Chad
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We say: Burundi 0-3 Ivory Coast

While Ivory Coast remains their biggest challenge in the qualifiers, Burundi can take pride in their performance so far as they could climb to the top of the table this weekend. However, given the gulf in quality and depth between the two teams, we are backing the Elephants to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw has a probability of 23.5% and a win for Burundi has a probability of 13.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.78%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Burundi win it is 1-0 (6.28%).

Result
BurundiDrawIvory Coast
13.93% (-0.118 -0.12) 23.54% (-0.131 -0.13) 62.52% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 38.83% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.29% (0.242 0.24)58.71% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.75% (0.188 0.19)79.25% (-0.187 -0.19)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.66% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)52.34% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.78% (-0.02 -0.02)86.22% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (0.182 0.18)18.52% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.25% (0.308 0.31)49.75% (-0.308 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Burundi 13.94%
    Ivory Coast 62.52%
    Draw 23.54%
BurundiDrawIvory Coast
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 3.43% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 13.94%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.69% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 16.34% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 13.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.75% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.02% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.27% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 62.52%

Who will win Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Burundi and Ivory Coast?

Burundi
Draw
Ivory Coast
Burundi
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Ivory Coast
100%
3
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2022 4pm
International Friendly
Ivory Coast
4-0
Burundi
Krasso (10'), Gradel (45+1'), Sangare (58'), Pepe (63')
rhs 2.0
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