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Iraq national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mubarak International Stadium
Palestine national football team

Iraq
vs.
Palestine

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and Palestine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Kuwait 0-0 Iraq
Tuesday, September 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: South Korea vs. Iraq
Tuesday, October 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: Palestine 1-3 Jordan
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Palestine vs. Kuwait
Tuesday, October 15 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iraq 3-1 Palestine

Palestine do have the tools to cause their hosts problems on Thursday, but Iraq boast more quality throughout their ranks and should see Thursday's meeting as a good opportunity to pick up three more crucial points in World Cup qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
IraqDrawPalestine
54.39% (-9.331 -9.33) 25.37% (2.936 2.94) 20.24% (6.394 6.39)
Both teams to score 45.21% (3.821 3.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43% (-1.502 -1.5)56.57% (1.5 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45% (-1.223 -1.22)77.55% (1.221 1.22)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-4.056 -4.06)20.83% (4.054 4.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (-6.786 -6.79)53.5% (6.784 6.78)
Palestine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.11% (7.374 7.37)42.89% (-7.375 -7.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.8% (5.643 5.64)79.2% (-5.645 -5.65)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 54.38%
    Palestine 20.24%
    Draw 25.36%
IraqDrawPalestine
1-0 @ 14.01% (-1.04 -1.04)
2-0 @ 10.99% (-2.44 -2.44)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.75% (-2.248 -2.25)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.634 -0.63)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-1.314 -1.31)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.168 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.546 -0.55)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.38%
1-1 @ 11.86% (1.51 1.51)
0-0 @ 8.93% (0.502 0.5)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.76 0.76)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.56% (1.762 1.76)
1-2 @ 5.02% (1.46 1.46)
0-2 @ 3.2% (1.206 1.21)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.6 0.6)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.382 0.38)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.446 0.45)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 20.24%

How you voted: Iraq vs Palestine

Iraq
86.9%
Draw
9.8%
Palestine
3.3%
61
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2018 2pm
International Friendlies
Iraq
1-0
Palestine
Tariq (47')
rhs 2.0
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