Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
