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Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Brentford logo

Newcastle
3 - 1
Brentford

Tonali (9', 43'), Schar (69')
Schar (17'), Guimaraes (38'), Livramento (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wissa (90+1')
Collins (31')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United record a commanding 3-1 win over Brentford with a dominant performance in the EFL Cup on Wednesday night, securing their place in the semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Leicester
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Brentford
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrentford
61.65%19.53% (0.0020000000000024 0) 18.82% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 61.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)33.57% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.62% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.45%10.55% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.72%34.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.27% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 61.65%
    Brentford 18.82%
    Draw 19.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.26%
3-0 @ 6.2%
3-2 @ 4.26%
4-1 @ 4.08%
4-0 @ 3.48%
4-2 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 1.84%
5-0 @ 1.57%
5-2 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 61.65%
1-1 @ 8.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.68%
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.53%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-1 @ 3.83%
0-2 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 18.82%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Brentford

Newcastle United
73.1%
Draw
12.2%
Brentford
14.7%
156
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Brentford
4-2
Newcastle
Mbeumo (8'), Wissa (28'), Collins (56'), Schade (90')
Lewis-Potter (45+3'), van den Berg (67'), Flekken (88')
Isak (11'), Barnes (32')
May 19, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 38
Brentford
2-4
Newcastle
Janelt (48'), Wissa (70')
Toney (44'), Jensen (45+5'), Wissa (51'), Maupay (90+5')
Barnes (21'), Murphy (36'), Isak (38'), Guimaraes (77')
Joelinton (28'), Burn (53'), Krafth (66'), Pope (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Newcastle
1-0
Brentford
Wilson (64' pen.)
Gordon (90+5'), Guimaraes (90+7'), Wilson (90+5')

Wissa (33'), Norgaard (42'), Hickey (59'), Flekken (64'), Collins (85')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Brentford
1-2
Newcastle
Toney (45+1' pen.)
Raya (54' og.), Isak (61')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Newcastle
5-1
Brentford
Guimaraes (21', 56'), Murphy (28'), Almiron (82'), Pinnock (90' og.)
Toney (54' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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