Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Dec 18, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta6 - 1Cesena
Zappacosta (4'), De Ketelaere (8', 35'), Samardzic (27', 71'), Brescianini (54')
Djimsiti (28'), Toloi (45')
Djimsiti (28'), Toloi (45')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cagliari 0-1 Atalanta
Saturday, December 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Cesena 2-1 Cosenza
Saturday, December 14 at 2pm in Serie B
Saturday, December 14 at 2pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Atalanta BC 3-0 Cesena
The most potent attack in Serie A will meet one of the least effective away sides in Serie B, so Atalanta can surely take care of business. Even if the hosts significantly rotate their squad, they should still put a halt to Cesena's cup run and safely secure a place in the last eight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cesena had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cesena win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Cesena |
58.65% ( -0.3) | 22.38% ( 0.1) | 18.97% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
