Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Dec 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma4 - 1Sampdoria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Como 2-0 Roma
Sunday, December 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, December 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Spezia
Saturday, December 14 at 4.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, December 14 at 4.15pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Roma 3-1 Sampdoria
Only victory will do for Roma, who are well behind Serie A's top seven and uncertain of progressing in the Europa League. The Coppa Italia could prove their only salvation in a dismal campaign, and they can surely see off Samp to book a quarter-final meeting with Milan. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
58.03% ( -0.39) | 22.21% ( 0.1) | 19.76% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
