

Dusseldorf3 - 1Nuremberg
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Nuremberg |
40.49% | 26.87% | 32.63% |
Both teams to score 50.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.7% | 54.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.31% | 75.69% |
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.66% | 26.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.52% | 61.47% |
Nuremberg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% | 31.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% | 67.39% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Nuremberg |
1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.49% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3% Total : 32.63% |
Morales (32'), Zimmer (68')