Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Haka had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Haka win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.