We say: Empoli 0-1 Parma
Parma are conceding far fewer goals under Cristian Chivu, so they should be able to keep their misfiring hosts quiet at the Castellani. Low in confidence - particularly across the final third - Empoli are stuck in an awful rut, and games are running out to end it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Parma win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Empoli has a probability of 32.09% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Empoli win is 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Parma |
32.09% ( 0.45) | 27.14% ( 0.05) | 40.77% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 49.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.53% ( -0.08) | 55.47% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.34% ( -0.06) | 76.66% ( 0.06) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( 0.27) | 32.04% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.5% ( 0.31) | 68.5% ( -0.31) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( -0.31) | 26.73% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38% ( -0.4) | 62% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
Empoli 32.09%
Parma 40.76%
Draw 27.14%
| Empoli | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.09% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.76% |
Who will win Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Parma?
Empoli
0.0%Draw
25.0%Parma
75.0%4
