Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.