Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 12, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico1 - 0Real Madrid
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Real Madrid win 4-2 on penalties
Reaction
Vinicius Junior's historic penalty miss: Real Madrid advance past Atletico Madrid to set up quarter-final tie against Arsenal
Vinicius Junior's penalty miss against Atletico Madrid did not stop Real Madrid advancing to the quarter-finals of the Champions League against Arsenal.
45 days ago
Real Madrid suffer major injury blow against Atletico Madrid as muscular issue is confirmed
Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti reveals that Ferland Mendy "felt a twinge in his leg" against Atletico Madrid on Wednesday.
45 days ago
Julian Alvarez penalty controversy could result in rule change as UEFA release statement following Atletico Madrid enquiry
UEFA release a statement to confirm that they will discuss a potential rule change following the penalty controversy from Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.
44 days ago
The Match
Match Report
Real Madrid will take on Arsenal in the quarter-finals of the Champions League courtesy of a penalty-shootout success over bitter rivals Atletico Madrid in the last 16.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Atletico Madrid could line up in the second leg of their Champions League last 16 tie against city rivals Real Madrid on Wednesday.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League last 16 second leg away to city rivals Atletico Madrid.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Getafe 2-1 Atletico
Sunday, March 9 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 9 at 1pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
57
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%).
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Madrid |
39.85% ( 0.85) | 25.38% ( -0.09) | 34.76% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( 0.29) | 47.62% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.17% ( 0.26) | 69.82% ( -0.27) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( 0.57) | 23.65% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.25% ( 0.81) | 57.75% ( -0.82) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( -0.31) | 26.45% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.37% ( -0.42) | 61.62% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid 39.85%
Real Madrid 34.76%
Draw 25.38%
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.85% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.76% |
How you voted: Atletico vs Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
31.0%Draw
22.7%Real Madrid
46.3%387
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2025 8pm
Sep 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
1-1
Real Madrid
Jan 18, 2024 8.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
4-2
Real Madrid
Lino (39'), Morata (57'), Griezmann (100'), Riquelme (119')
Morata (58'), Hermoso (68'), De Paul (78'), Koke (80'), Simeone (83'), Griezmann (101'), Witsel (113')
Morata (58'), Hermoso (68'), De Paul (78'), Koke (80'), Simeone (83'), Griezmann (101'), Witsel (113')
Oblak (45+1' og.), Joselu (82')
Junior (45'), Camavinga (56'), Diaz (68'), Tchouameni (85'), Bellingham (87'), Carvajal (89')
Junior (45'), Camavinga (56'), Diaz (68'), Tchouameni (85'), Bellingham (87'), Carvajal (89')
Form Guide
Build-up
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47 days ago
