Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 12, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille1 - 2Dortmund
The Match
Match Report
Borussia Dortmund faced Lille in the second leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie on Wednesday evening with Jonathan David, Emre Can and Max Beier on target.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Lille and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Dortmund 0-1 Augsburg
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
45
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
44.52% ( 0.72) | 23.25% ( -0.09) | 32.23% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 62.99% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.65% ( 0.21) | 38.35% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.36% ( 0.22) | 60.63% ( -0.22) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% ( 0.38) | 17.63% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.76% ( 0.65) | 48.23% ( -0.64) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( -0.26) | 23.52% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.38) | 57.55% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 44.52%
Borussia Dortmund 32.23%
Draw 23.24%
| Lille | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.94% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 32.23% |
How you voted: Lille vs Dortmund
Lille
66.6%Draw
10.3%Borussia Dortmund
23.1%320
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2025 8pm
