Watford1 - 0Swansea
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Championship
for
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship
for
We said: Watford 2-1 Swansea City
Becoming accustomed to playing most Tuesdays and Wednesdays is important for any EFL club, but these two sides have struggled in that regard of late, both falling to defeat in their previous four midweek league games. Something has to give here, and even though they were beaten on this pitch just four days ago, Watford will be the slight favourites, and should be able to close the gap on the top six slightly. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
42.85% ( 1.35) | 26.7% ( -0.32) | 30.45% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.73% ( 0.91) | 54.27% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% ( 0.75) | 75.66% ( -0.75) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 1.11) | 25.09% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.22% ( 1.51) | 59.78% ( -1.51) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( -0.27) | 32.57% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.89% ( -0.3) | 69.11% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.45% |
