Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.