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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Roma logo

Atalanta
vs.
Roma

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 0-4 Atalanta
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 4 at 5pm in Serie A

We say: Atalanta BC 0-0 Roma

While Atalanta have been below their best on home soil for several months, Roma are hard to beat and can at least grind out a goalless draw. A point will suit La Dea more than their counterparts from the capital, as that should essentially sew up third place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw has a probability of 24% and a win for Roma has a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Roma win it is 0-1 (6.7%).

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
53.46% (0.51900000000001 0.52) 23.99% (-0.203 -0.2) 22.55% (-0.312 -0.31)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.24 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.51 0.51)48.87% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.462 0.46)70.96% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.39200000000001 0.39)18.21% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (0.661 0.66)49.23% (-0.657 -0.66)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.83% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)36.17% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.05% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)72.95% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 53.45%
    Roma 22.55%
    Draw 23.99%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.42% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.045 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 53.45%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 22.55%

Who will win Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta and Roma?

Atalanta BC
Draw
Roma
Atalanta BC
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Roma
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Roma
0-2
Atalanta

Dybala (53'), El Shaarawy (90+4')
De Roon (69'), Zaniolo (89')
Hien (78'), Kolasinac (88'), Zaniolo (90')
May 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
De Ketelaere (18', 20')
Piero Gasperini (43'), Koopmeiners (58')
Pellegrini (66' pen.)
N'Dicka (46')
Jan 7, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Dybala (39' pen.)
Mourinho (45+7'), Kristensen (63')
Mourinho (90+4')
Koopmeiners (8')
Scalvini (29'), Ruggeri (37'), Ederson (43'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (74'), Holm (90')
Apr 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
3-1
Roma
Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
0-1
Atalanta
Scalvini (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli35238455253077
2Inter Milan35228573334074
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma35189850321863
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina351781053351859
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino351014113940-144
12Udinese35128153849-1144
13Genoa35912143043-1339
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Parma36614164156-1532
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3595213063-3332
17Empoli36513182956-2728
18Lecce3569202457-3327
19VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
RMonza3529242563-3815


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