Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
44.89% | 24.72% | 30.38% |
Both teams to score 56.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% | 46.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% | 68.37% |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.4% | 20.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.86% | 53.14% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.55% | 28.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.79% | 64.21% |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.37% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |