Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.