Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.