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Adelaide United
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Newcastle Jets
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Sydney FC
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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Aug 3, 2020 at 10.30am UK
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne
Central Coast Mariners

Victory
2 - 3
Central Coast

Rojas (22', 65')
Barnett (72'), Athiu (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fox (48'), Ruiz Diaz (85', 89')
Silvera (39'), Oar (51'), Simon (80')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
52.07%23.52%24.4%
Both teams to score 55.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.01%44.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66%67.34%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72%17.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38%47.62%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62%32.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11%68.89%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 52.07%
    Central Coast Mariners 24.4%
    Draw 23.52%
Melbourne VictoryDrawCentral Coast Mariners
1-0 @ 9.82%
2-1 @ 9.72%
2-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 5.69%
3-0 @ 5.05%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 52.07%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 5.6%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.31%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 3.56%
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.4%

Head to Head
Jan 12, 2020 7am
Gameweek 14
Central Coast
3-2
Victory
Murray (44'), Simon (94' pen., 100' pen.)
Duric (67'), Simon (96')
Dobras (8'), Rowles (78' og.)
Kruse (94'), Traore (96'), Broxham (97')
Kurz (111')
Apr 14, 2019 8am
Gameweek 25
Victory
2-1
Central Coast
Toivonen (21'), Niedermeier (79')
Kamsoba (3'), Toivonen (32')
Simon (53' pen.)
Feb 2, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 17
Central Coast
2-3
Victory
Hoole (18', 45')
Melling (12'), Simon (70'), Pain (72'), Karacan (87')
Troisi (50'), Kennedy (68' og.), Barbarouses (88')
Deng (17'), Broxham (45')
Nov 11, 2018 8am
Gameweek 4
Victory
4-1
Central Coast
Honda (30'), Troisi (35'), Brown (45'), Hope (94')
Valeri (25'), Antonis (44')
Shabow (62')
Clisby (69'), Hoole (83')
Mar 18, 2018 6am
Victory
5-2
Central Coast
George (15'), Berisha (25', 54', 74'), Theoharous (83')
Sanchez (32'), George (78')
Pain (87', 97')
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