Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for an Al-Taawoun win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match.