MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 09:02:28| >> :60:682:682:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 1pm UK
BG Stadium

Pathum Utd
2 - 4
Kawasaki

Sergeev (45+1'), Cardozo (82' pen.)
Choolthong (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tono (14'), Tachibanada (52'), Marcinho (68'), Ominami (77')
Jung (79'), Jesiel (89'), Takai (90+2'), Wakizaka (90+4')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between BG Pathum United and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Pathum Utd 2-4 Johor Darul
Tuesday, October 3 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
BG Pathum UnitedDrawKawasaki Frontale
35.22% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 24.78% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 40% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.35% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)44.82% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)67.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
BG Pathum United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)24.86% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)59.47% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.34% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)55.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    BG Pathum United 35.22%
    Kawasaki Frontale 40%
    Draw 24.78%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.22%
1-1 @ 11.58%
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40%

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