MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 08:54:08| >> :60:976:976:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 1pm UK
BG Stadium

Pathum Utd
2 - 4
Kawasaki

Sergeev (45+1'), Cardozo (82' pen.)
Choolthong (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tono (14'), Tachibanada (52'), Marcinho (68'), Ominami (77')
Jung (79'), Jesiel (89'), Takai (90+2'), Wakizaka (90+4')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between BG Pathum United and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

BG Pathum United

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Pathum Utd 2-4 Johor Darul
Tuesday, October 3 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, October 20 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
BG Pathum UnitedDrawKawasaki Frontale
35.22% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 24.78% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 40% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.35% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.18% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)44.82% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)67.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
BG Pathum United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)24.86% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)59.47% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.34% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)55.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    BG Pathum United 35.22%
    Kawasaki Frontale 40%
    Draw 24.78%
BG Pathum UnitedDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.22%
1-1 @ 11.58%
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40%

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