AFC Champions League | Round of 16
Aug 19, 2022 at 9am UK
Leo Stadium
Pathum Utd4 - 0Kitchee
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between BG Pathum United and Kitchee.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pathum Utd 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons
Saturday, April 30 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Saturday, April 30 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BG Pathum United win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Kitchee had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a BG Pathum United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Kitchee win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BG Pathum United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BG Pathum United | Draw | Kitchee |
49.13% ( -0.03) | 25.3% ( 0.01) | 25.57% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.52% ( -0.02) | 51.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( -0.01) | 73.28% ( 0.02) |
| BG Pathum United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( -0.02) | 20.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.27% ( -0.03) | 53.73% ( 0.03) |
| Kitchee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( 0.01) | 34.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.36% ( 0.01) | 71.64% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
BG Pathum United 49.12%
Kitchee 25.57%
Draw 25.3%
| BG Pathum United | Draw | Kitchee |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.12% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.57% |
Form Guide
