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[monks data]
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 24, 2021 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
PSV

Ajax
5 - 0
PSV

Berghuis (19'), Haller (56'), Antony (66'), Klaassen (76'), Tadic (90+1')
Alvarez (24'), Martinez (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Max (36'), Vinicius (69')

Preview: Ajax vs. PSV Eindhoven - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The current top two in the Eredivisie table go head-to-head on Sunday when Ajax welcome PSV Eindhoven to the Johan Cruyff ArenA.

The sides are separated by just a point after the first nine matchdays and this weekend's game promises to be an enthralling affair.


Match preview

Ajax coach Erik ten Hag reacts on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Ajax eased past Heerenveen in a 2-0 victory on Saturday to return to winning ways following a defeat to Utrecht just before the international break.

Goals in either half from Sebastien Haller and David Neres secured a well-deserved three points for Erik ten Hag's men at the Abe Lenstra Stadion.

De Godenzonen remain top of the standings having dropped only five points and conceded two goals this term as they go in search of a 36th Eredivisie title.

The Amsterdam-based club also claimed a 4-0 victory over German side Borussia Dortmund in their third Champions League group-stage clash on Tuesday and head into this weekend's contest with the wind in their sails.

With revenge on the agenda following August's 4-0 drubbing at the hands of the visitors, Sunday's hosts will be keen to come out on top and extend their cushion at the summit.

PSV Eindhoven's Bruma celebrates scoring their first goal against FC Midtjylland on August 10, 2021© Reuters

PSV picked up where they left off before the international break with a 3-1 victory versus PEC Zwolle at the Philips Stadion on Saturday.

Roger Schmidt's men found themselves behind three minutes into the contest courtesy of Daishawn Redan's opener, but late goals from Andre Ramalho, Cody Gakpo and Olivier Boscagli turned the tie on its head.

The Rood-witten remain hot on the trails of this weekend's opponents as they seek to end a four-year drought since their last title in the 2017-18 campaign.

Sunday's visitors, who were beaten 2-1 by Monaco in Thursday's Europa League clash, have little time to dwell on that defeat as they prepare for what is arguably their biggest game of the season.

Ajax Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Ajax form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

PSV Eindhoven form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

PSV Eindhoven's Noni Madueke in action with FC Midtjylland's Paulinho on August 10, 2021© Reuters

Cody Gakpo limped off with an ankle injury in midweek and the forward will be a big miss for the visitors having netted in his last two appearances.

PSV will also be without the services of Noni Madueke and Ritsu Doan who are sidelined with thigh and knee injuries respectively.

Twenty-one-year-old Richard Ledezma still awaits his first outing of the new campaign as he remains sidelined with a torn ACL which he suffered last December.

Sebastien Haller has netted 14 times in as many games for club and country this term, and the former West Ham man is one to keep an eye on.

Maarten Steklenburg has missed all but three of Ajax's matches due to a hip injury, and Remko Pasveer will continue to deputise in the absence of his Dutch teammate.

Ajax possible starting lineup:
Pasveer; Mazraoui, Timber, Martinez, Blind; Alvarez, Gravenberch, Berghuis; Neres, Tadic, Haller

PSV Eindhoven possible starting lineup:
Drommel; Max, Obispo, Ramalho, Mwene; Sangare, Van Ginkel, Gotze; Vertessen, Zahavi, Bruma


SM words green background

We say: Ajax 3-1 PSV Eindhoven

Ajax and PSV are set to battle it out for this year's title and Sunday's result could go a long way in determining who gets to lay their hands on the title come May. We are backing Ajax to emerge victorious in what should be an absorbing affair.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:468052:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8861:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.99%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 22.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Ajax vs PSV

Ajax
80.0%
Draw
14.0%
PSV Eindhoven
6.0%
100
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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